Nathaniel A. Throckmorton, Ph.D.
nat@wm.edu

Associate Professor
Economics Department,

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Editorial Board Member
Computational Economics

Advisory Council General Member
Society for Computational Economics

Uncertainty Shocks in a Model of Effective Demand: Comment
with Oliver de Groot and Alex Richter
Econometrica, July 2018, Volume 86, Pages 1513-1526
FRB Dallas Working Paper 1706
Online Appendix

Basu and Bundick (2017) show an intertemporal preference volatility shock has meaningful effects on real activity in a New Keynesian model with Epstein and Zin (1991) preferences. We show when the distributional weights on current and future utility in the Epstein-Zin time-aggregator do not sum to 1, there is an asymptote in the responses to such a shock with unit intertemporal elasticity of substitution. In the Basu-Bundick model, the intertemporal elasticity of substitution is set near unity and the preference shock only hits current utility, so the sum of the weights differs from 1. We show when we restrict the weights to sum to 1, the asymptote disappears and preference volatility shocks no longer have large effects. We examine several different calibrations and preferences as potential resolutions with varying degrees of success.